Our fall foliage was pushed back this year due to extremely mild Weather from September through October, but there is still some color to be seen. Even when the fall Weather continues to warm, we look forward to the winter months of December, January, and February. The above-average temperature trend will most likely persist into the winter. The Pacific Ocean is the key to understanding the more prominent climate trends that influence our seasonal Weather. This winter, La Nia has returned, with ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific continuing to plunge below average in recent months.
Similar to the previous year, a moderate La Nia is likely to persist during the winter months. This Weather pattern has a history of keeping us warmer than usual by pushing the jet stream further north, decreasing the cold air we see. Overall, we should expect a warmer winter than expected, although there will be frigid air outbreaks here and there. Everything depends on the polar vortex bringing chilly air to our location.
In December and January last year, the was warm, but the Polar Vortex got a harsh cold in February.For much of the winter, the coldest air is expected to be north or east of us. We can see how the jet stream will behave this winter by looking at the end of October and early November. We’ve seen some remarkable storm systems sweep over the Midwest in recent weeks.
But, what happens if it rains, snows, or ices? Precipitation will be around or slightly above average, but we’ll need cold air and a favorable storm track to have a substantial snowfall. This winter, our snow possibilities appear to be limited again, and ice Weather is a possibility.